If the weather cooperates this evening, baseball fans and gamblers alike will enjoy some entertaining action on the diamonds. Gio Gonzalez will attempt to continue his “dead cat bounce” against the Rangers. Tyler Beede, a pitcher owned in a mere 5% of Yahoo fantasy baseball leagues, will pitch against the Phillies. As most would guess, Parx has Beede and the Giants listed as considerable dogs. Here is a quick look at four of tonight’s most intriguing games from a gambler’s perspective.
Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox O/U 12
|Los Angeles Angels||+138|
|Boston Red Sox||+167|
Angels’ pitcher Jaime Barria has a horrid 6.36 ERA along with a 1.52 WHIP. Though Barria racks up the strikeouts, he will likely struggle against the Red Sox. After all, Barria allowed the lowly Mariners to put up 10 earned runs less than a month ago. Brian Johnson has pitched out of the bullpen this season, posting a 6.88 ERA along with a 2.12 WHIP. The lefty should struggle mightily against an Angels lineup with ample right-handed power.
Pick: Over 12
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins O/U 8
Those who watch baseball closely are aware that Julio Teheran is not as good as his 2019 statistics indicate. Teheran is much more wild than most stat box geeks would guess. However, Parx has Teheran and the Braves as big favorites this evening against the Marlins. Caleb Smith will pitch against Atlanta. Smith has solid numbers across the first two-thirds of the 2019 campaign: a 7-5 record, 123 Ks in 102 innings, a 3.35 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. Smith last faced the Braves on July 6, allowing three earned runs on four hits and a walk. Teheran is due for a setback while Smith should be able to hold the Braves to four runs or less.
Pick: Marlins moneyline
Texas Rangers at Milwaukee Brewers O/U 10
It is hard to believe Gio Gonzalez is emerging as one of the Brewers’ top arms down the stretch. Gonzalez has not allowed more than four earned runs this season. However, Gonzalez rarely pitches more than five innings in any given outing. Let’s assume Gonzalez can hold the Rangers to four runs or less. Kolby Allard has allowed 11 earned runs across eight innings pitched. The lefty from San Clemente, CA will likely find it difficult to make it through five innings against an above average Brewers lineup.
Pick: Brewers moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants O/U 8.5
|San Francisco Giants||-110|
Drew Smyly was acquired by the Phillies prior to the trade deadline yet the lefty has not fared well since joining Philly. In fact, Smyly struggled even before he was dealt. The Little Rock, AR native is 2-6 with a 7.01 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP. These numbers are well below Smyly’s career ERA of 4.09 and career WHIP of 1.25. Tyler Beede looked like a legitimate big league starter up until his last few outings. Beede shut out the Mets back on July 19 only to surrender a total of 13 earned runs across his next 14 innings on the mound. This one should go over simply because the Giants have enough right-handed power to put up more than a handful of runs against Smyly. The Phillies will likely be good for at least four to five runs or more against Beede.
Pick: Over 8.5