The landscape of the NFL changed in week two. A number of the game’s top quarterbacks went down with serious injuries. As a result, we have plenty of intriguing gambling lines for week three. Let’s take a look at the best lines to put your money on for the upcoming slate of NFL action.
Cincinnati Bengals (+6) at Buffalo Bills (-6) O/U 44
SugarHouse has the Bills as six point favorites as the Bengals are struggling to run the ball and stop opposing offenses. The Bills are quickly emerging as one of the league’s up-and-coming teams. However, the Bills rookie running back, Devin Singletary, might be out a few weeks with a hamstring injury. Frank Gore will carry the load in Singletary’s absence. The Bills should win this one by double digits as the Bengals’ offensive ineptitude is likely to continue until AJ Green returns.
Pick: Bills moneyline -250
Atlanta Falcons (+2) at Indianapolis Colts (-2) O/U 47.5
The Falcons are a slightly better team than the Colts yet SugarHouse has the dirty birds as two point dogs as this game will take place in Indianapolis. Though Jacoby Brissett might end up as a solid NFL quarterback across the next decade, the Colts offense simply cannot match the firepower of the Falcons. The Falcons should easily cover the two point spread. However, there is always for any NFL matchup to come down to a last second field goal that results in a one or two point victory. This is precisely why savvy gamblers will take the Falcons at +2 rather than the moneyline.
Pick: Falcons +2
Baltimore Ravens (+7) at Kansas City Chiefs (-7) O/U 53.5
The Ravens might be the most overrated team in football. SugarHouse appears to agree as Baltimore is a 7-point dog against the Chiefs this weekend. The only way Baltimore can win this game is through ball control. However, if the Chiefs get out to an early lead, the Ravens will be forced to resort to an air raid offense. Let’s assume the Chiefs put up 30 points. The revitalized Ravens offense should be good for 20 to 25 points or more against the weak Kansas City defense, sending the point total just above the 53.5 expected by SugarHouse.
Pick: Over 53.5
Oakland Raiders (+8.5) at Minnesota Vikings (-8.5) O/U 43
The Raiders offense will struggle to move the ball against the Vikings robust defense. Josh Jacobs appears to be the real deal at running back yet an offense with a receiving corps highlighted by Tyrell Williams is unlikely to put up more than 17 points against a defense of the Vikings caliber. Making matters worse for the Raiders is the fact that Jacobs might be sidelined this week with an injury.
Pick: Vikings moneyline -345
Detroit Lions (+6.5) at Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5) O/U 47
It is slightly surprising that SugarHouse has the Lions as nearly a touchdown dog in this matchup with the Eagles. The Eagles canceled practice on Wednesday as the team is ravaged by injuries. Though the Lions defense is below average, their offense is quite potent. Anyone who watched the Eagles last week will find it difficult to wager on the birds as Carson Wentz appears to be held together with duct tape and paper clips.
Pick: Lions +6.5 and a smaller play on the Lions moneyline +230
New York Giants (+6.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.5) O/U 48
Daniel Jones will lead the Giants into Tampa Bay for quite the intriguing matchup. The best way to play this game is to tease the Giants points up to 7 or even 7.5. Jones fared well in the preseason. However, even if Jones can keep this game close, the Giants defense is likely to let him down. Even if this were a home game against the Buccaneers, the Giants would still struggle to keep Tampa under 25-30 points in spite of the fact that quarterback Jameis Winston is dealing with a foot injury.
Pick: Giants +6.5 (or teased up +0.5 or +1 to +7 or +7.5)
New Orleans Saints (+4) at Seattle Seahawks (-4) O/U 45
Knowing Sean Peyton, both Teddy Bridgewater and Taysom Hill will get a considerable number of snaps in relief of the injured Drew Brees. It is certainly possible the Saints will play ball control offense with screen passes and runs dominating the offensive play calls. Seattle should not have a problem moving the ball against the Saints. However, the Saints will likely prove highly functional even without Brees as Hill has been heavily involved in the offense for several years after being cut by the Packers.
Pick: Under 45 and Saints +4
Los Angeles Rams (-3) at Cleveland Browns (+3) O/U 49
The Rams are clearly better than the Browns on paper. Cleveland is young and liable to implode at any moment as the team has more than its fair share of divas. However, this is a home game following the Browns soul-crushing home opener loss to the Titans. This will be an extremely close game decided in the final five minutes. The best bet is to roll with the home team at +3.
Pick: Browns +3
Chicago Bears (-4) at Washington Redskins (+4) O/U 42
The Bears are lucky to be sitting at 1-1 after two weeks. Chicago gets a break this week in a relatively easy matchup with the Redskins. To the surprise of just about everyone, the Redskins have been fairly competitive with journeyman quarterback Case Keenum at the helm. However, the Bears defense is likely to make Keenum look like the backup that he is destined to become once Colt McCoy returns from his broken leg.
Pick: Bears moneyline -200