This week’s NFL matchups look a little bit different now that some of the game’s top cornerbacks have been traded. Add in the fact that Ryan Fitzpatrick will start for the Dolphins and the slate of games is that much more intriguing from a gambler’s perspective. Here is a look at your best NFL bets for week seven.
Kansas City Chiefs -3 at Denver Broncos O/U 48.5
Patrick Mahomes has a bad ankle so SugarHouse has the Chiefs as a mere three point favorite against the lowly Broncos. Though Denver has played well the past couple weeks, this is still a mismatch. As long as Mahomes can finish the game, the Chiefs should prevail. However, the Chiefs might not cover the three point spread as the Broncos defense put up more than half a dozen sacks last week. This one should go under as both teams are playing on short rest and Mahomes is nowhere near 100% healthy.
Pick: Under 48.5
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills -17 O/U 40.5
SugarHouse has the Bills listed as 17 point favorites yet this spread seems a bit large as Ryan Fitzpatrick will play instead of Josh Rosen. Fitzpatrick shined bright last week in relief of Rosen. Furthermore, Fitzpatrick has played well in Buffalo throughout his career. The Bills are coming off a bye week so there might be a bit of rust.
Pick: Over 40.5 and a small play on Miami +17
Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants -3 O/U 49
The Cardinals are finally finding their groove after a slow start to the season. The same can be said for Giants. It is unclear whether the Giants will have Evan Engram, Saquon Barkley or Sterling Shepard on the field this Sunday as all three are nursing injuries. Even if these skill players suit up, the Cardinals should be able to hang with the G-men.
Pick: Arizona +3
San Francisco 49ers -9.5 at Washington Redskins O/U 41
The Redskins are a mess. Offensive tackle Trent Williams is still holding out. Quarterback Alex Smith required 17 surgeries to repair his broken leg after team doctors allegedly misdiagnosed the injury and subsequent infection. Outside of Terry McLaurin, the Redskins don’t have much firepower. The 49ers are ascending while the Redskins are in a free fall. This is an enormous mismatch in every sense of the word.
Pick: 49ers -9.5
Los Angeles Chargers at Tennessee Titans -2 O/U 39.5
The Titans will start Ryan Tannehill in this matchup. Tannehill has not played in about a year so it is awfully odd to see SugarHouse’s line of Titans -2. The Chargers stumbled last week in prime time against the Devlin Hodges-led Steelers. This is a difficult game to predict as it is hard to believe the Chargers are as bad as they looked against the lowly Steelers. When in doubt, take the under between two bad teams.
Pick: Under 39.5
New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears -3 O/U 38.5
The Bears and Saints will roll out two backup quarterbacks in Teddy Bridgewater and Chase Daniel. Both quarterbacks have been solid in relief. SugarHouse has the Bears listed as a slight favorite as this game will be played in Chicago. Furthermore, Alvin Kamara is dealing with a high ankle sprain.
Pick: Bears moneyline -152
Baltimore Ravens at Seattle Seahawks -3 O/U 49
The Seahawks are a well-balanced, healthy team with Super Bowl aspirations. The Ravens have struggled a bit since their hot start yet they are still one of the teams to beat in the AFC. Both teams have solid running games and defenses. However, Russell Wilson is much better than Lamar Jackson. Seattle should win this home game and cement their status as NFC frontrunners.
Pick: Seahawks moneyline -182
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys -3 O/U 49.5
The Cowboys are slight favorites against the Eagles in this all-important NFC East matchup in prime time. However, Amari Cooper has not practiced this week due to a bruised quad. Dallas deserves props for fighting back in the second half of last week’s game against the Jets yet they are sorely missing Cole Beasley who departed to Buffalo during free agency. The Eagles seem to have hit their stride just in time to resurrect what was looking like a failed season.
Pick: Eagles +3
New England Patriots -9.5 at New York Jets O/U 43
This game is not as much of a mismatch as most assume. Anyone who watched the Jets beat the Cowboys last week is well aware of the fact that Sam Darnold is the real deal. Though Darnold has played sparingly this season due to mono, he is more than capable of taking down the mighty Patriots with the help of Le’Veon Bell. This game should go over even though Josh Gordon and Phillip Dorsett are dealing with injuries.
Pick: Over 43 and a small play on the Jets moneyline +320